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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.45+1.93vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.39+3.23vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.85+1.15vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.06+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.28+3.37vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.75+1.08vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.68+0.21vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.62-3.27vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.81-2.20vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.22-1.35vs Predicted
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11Rice University0.28-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-1.19+0.18vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-1.05-1.17vs Predicted
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14University of Texas-1.62-1.21vs Predicted
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15University of Texas-2.13-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Tulane University2.450.3%1st Place
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5.23Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.15Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
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6.18Tulane University1.060.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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7.08Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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7.21Tulane University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.73Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.8Tulane University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.65Tulane University0.220.0%1st Place
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8.4Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ehnot | 29.8% | 24.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 15.7% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Kohl | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ricky Miller | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Martha Hughes | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Rielly | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Essie Clifton | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Joe Slipper | 2.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Rohit Rajan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 22.4% | 22.9% | 13.7% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 12.3% |
| Mark Carella | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 24.1% | 26.7% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 22.9% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.