← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.45+1.91vs Predicted
-
2Rice University0.75+4.95vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University1.62+1.65vs Predicted
-
4Rice University0.28+4.39vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas0.28+3.39vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University1.39-0.69vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University1.85-2.84vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University0.81-1.08vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University1.06-2.85vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University0.68-2.63vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University0.22-2.44vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas-1.19+0.16vs Predicted
-
13University of Texas-1.05-1.19vs Predicted
-
14University of Texas-1.62-1.22vs Predicted
-
15University of Texas-2.13-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.91Tulane University2.450.3%1st Place
-
6.95Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
-
4.65Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
-
8.39Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
-
8.39University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
-
5.31Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
-
4.16Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
-
6.92Tulane University0.810.0%1st Place
-
6.15Tulane University1.060.1%1st Place
-
7.37Tulane University0.680.0%1st Place
-
8.56Tulane University0.220.0%1st Place
-
12.16University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
-
11.81University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
-
12.78University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
-
13.48University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ehnot | 29.9% | 24.6% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Bobby Rielly | 12.9% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 16.1% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lola Kohl | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martha Hughes | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Essie Clifton | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Rohit Rajan | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 15.1% | 22.8% | 22.9% | 13.6% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 12.3% |
| Mark Carella | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 23.9% | 26.7% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 13.6% | 22.6% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.