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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.28+7.29vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.45+0.84vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.85+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.28+4.36vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.62-0.17vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.06+0.27vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.81-0.10vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.75-0.95vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.39-3.75vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.68-2.62vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.22-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-2.13+1.71vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-1.19-0.92vs Predicted
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14University of Texas-1.05-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of Texas-1.62-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
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2.84Tulane University2.450.3%1st Place
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4.11Tulane University1.850.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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4.83Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.27Tulane University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.9Tulane University0.810.1%1st Place
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7.05Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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5.25Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.38Tulane University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.58Tulane University0.220.0%1st Place
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13.71University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Ehnot | 30.7% | 23.2% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 14.6% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Bobby Rielly | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Kohl | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ricky Miller | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 9.8% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Hughes | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Essie Clifton | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 23.7% | 49.9% |
| Rohit Rajan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 22.3% | 22.7% | 13.6% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 21.4% | 19.3% | 9.9% |
| Mark Carella | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 25.9% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.