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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.85+3.16vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.45+0.84vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.62+1.67vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.06+2.16vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.81+1.96vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39-0.69vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.28+1.34vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.75-0.94vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.22-0.51vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.68-2.65vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-2.13+2.56vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-1.19+0.19vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-1.05-1.16vs Predicted
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14University of Texas-1.62-1.22vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.28-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
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2.84Tulane University2.450.3%1st Place
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4.67Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.16Tulane University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.96Tulane University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.31Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.34Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.06Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
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8.49Tulane University0.220.0%1st Place
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7.35Tulane University0.680.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
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12.78University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Solmo | 16.7% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ehnot | 32.1% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Rielly | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Kohl | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ricky Miller | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Essie Clifton | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Martha Hughes | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 48.7% |
| Rohit Rajan | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 14.3% | 23.2% | 22.5% | 14.4% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 12.0% |
| Mark Carella | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 27.9% | 23.7% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.