← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.45+1.90vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University1.85+1.98vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University1.62+1.57vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University1.08+2.02vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University0.81+1.89vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University1.06+0.17vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University0.22+1.44vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University0.68-0.79vs Predicted
-
9Rice University0.75-2.06vs Predicted
-
10Rice University0.28-1.57vs Predicted
-
11University of Texas-1.19+0.93vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas-2.13+1.71vs Predicted
-
13University of Texas-1.05-1.19vs Predicted
-
14University of Texas-1.62-1.25vs Predicted
-
15University of Texas0.28-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.9Tulane University2.450.3%1st Place
-
3.98Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
-
4.57Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
-
6.02Tulane University1.080.1%1st Place
-
6.89Tulane University0.810.1%1st Place
-
6.17Tulane University1.060.1%1st Place
-
8.44Tulane University0.220.0%1st Place
-
7.21Tulane University0.680.0%1st Place
-
6.94Rice University0.750.0%1st Place
-
8.43Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.93University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
-
13.71University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
-
11.81University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
-
12.75University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.28University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ehnot | 30.4% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 16.7% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Rielly | 13.0% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Starck | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lola Kohl | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Essie Clifton | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Martha Hughes | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ricky Miller | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Rohit Rajan | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 21.9% | 13.8% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 20.9% | 51.0% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 16.4% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 10.7% |
| Mark Carella | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 28.6% | 22.5% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.