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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.45+1.86vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.08+3.96vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.06+3.03vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.62+0.63vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.28+3.31vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.28+2.39vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.68+0.12vs Predicted
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8Tulane University0.81-1.17vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.85-4.97vs Predicted
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10Rice University0.75-2.89vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.22-2.46vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-1.19+0.18vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-1.62-0.09vs Predicted
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14University of Texas-2.13-0.48vs Predicted
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15University of Texas-1.05-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Tulane University2.450.3%1st Place
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5.96Tulane University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.03Tulane University1.060.1%1st Place
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4.63Tulane University1.620.1%1st Place
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8.31Rice University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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7.12Tulane University0.680.1%1st Place
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6.83Tulane University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.03Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
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7.11Rice University0.750.1%1st Place
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8.54Tulane University0.220.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Texas-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Texas-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ehnot | 30.6% | 23.6% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Starck | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lola Kohl | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Rielly | 12.4% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Martha Hughes | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 15.3% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Essie Clifton | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Rohit Rajan | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 23.7% | 21.7% | 14.6% |
| Mark Carella | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 26.9% | 27.8% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 21.7% | 45.9% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.