Race 5 - colony-cup | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%

Within 2 Positions

3.2

Avg Position Diff

10

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

+1.54

vs Predicted
2

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

+0.54

vs Predicted
3

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-0.46

vs Predicted
4

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-1.46

vs Predicted
5

Luke Gossman & Valerie Cole

Virginia Tech

1.80

-1.95

vs Predicted
6

Natalie Ross & Amy Craven

Christopher Newport University

1.07

-2.11

vs Predicted
7

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

-4.67

vs Predicted
8

Matthew Needles & Heather Lee

University of Virginia

1.67

-4.81

vs Predicted
9

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-6.46

vs Predicted
10

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

-7.67

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.54

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.54

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.54

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.54

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
3.05

Luke Gossman & Valerie Cole

Virginia Tech

1.80

0.2%

1st Place
3.89

Natalie Ross & Amy Craven

Christopher Newport University

1.07

0.1%

1st Place
2.33

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

0.3%

1st Place
3.19

Matthew Needles & Heather Lee

University of Virginia

1.67

0.2%

1st Place
2.54

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.33

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

0.3%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Billy Hluchan	27.0%	26.7%	21.4%	15.6%	9.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.0%	26.7%	21.4%	15.6%	9.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.0%	26.7%	21.4%	15.6%	9.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.0%	26.7%	21.4%	15.6%	9.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Luke Gossman	15.8%	20.5%	23.3%	23.8%	16.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Natalie Ross	8.2%	10.3%	12.9%	21.1%	47.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ian Connors	32.8%	26.4%	22.5%	11.4%	6.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Matthew Needles	16.2%	16.1%	19.9%	28.1%	19.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.0%	26.7%	21.4%	15.6%	9.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ian Connors	32.8%	26.4%	22.5%	11.4%	6.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.