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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.65+1.30vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.65+2.56vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.80+1.87vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.71+0.63vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.97+0.25vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.37+3.61vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.89-1.94vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.03-2.63vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.37-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-1.70-3.16vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-3.09-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Ohio State University0.6541.3%1st Place
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4.56Hope College-0.659.5%1st Place
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4.87Washington University-0.809.2%1st Place
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4.63Michigan State University-0.7110.8%1st Place
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5.25Ohio State University-0.976.8%1st Place
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9.61Saginaw Valley State University-3.371.1%1st Place
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5.06Indiana University-0.897.4%1st Place
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5.37Purdue University-1.036.9%1st Place
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8.18Miami University-2.371.8%1st Place
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6.84University of Notre Dame-1.703.8%1st Place
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9.32University of Illinois-3.091.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 41.3% | 24.6% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 9.5% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Avery | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Piper Luke | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 23.4% | 48.0% |
| Weston Rapp | 7.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Mathis Destouches | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 22.9% | 24.1% | 12.2% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
| Arseniy Titov | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 29.3% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.