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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+3.34vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine-0.01+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-2.07+7.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.53+5.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-1.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.40-2.08vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07+0.60vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-4.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.59vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+1.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-2.29+0.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.52-3.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-2.58vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.91-1.27vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.79-2.43vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.98-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.2%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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7.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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3.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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12.57University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Kim | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 12.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Dang | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Brayden Money | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 15.3% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 15.0% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 23.8% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% |
| Mason Read | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 24.0% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 19.8% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.