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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine-0.01+3.61vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+5.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-1.07vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-2.48vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+3.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.91+3.70vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.07+0.56vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-2.29+0.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.52-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.53-4.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-3.62vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.98-1.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.79-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Berkeley0.400.2%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.2%1st Place
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7.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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11.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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12.7University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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12.6University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Leddy | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 20.7% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Olsen | 17.8% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 16.3% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Conor Kim | 14.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.6% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 23.5% |
| Teresa Dang | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Mason Read | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 7.8% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Brayden Money | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 28.1% |
| Sam Dudley | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.