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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+2.82vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-2.07+6.60vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.01-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.53+1.90vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+2.37vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+2.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-1.50vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.52-2.17vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-4.49vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.98-0.06vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.91-1.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.29-3.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.79-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.2%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Berkeley0.400.2%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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10.6University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
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3.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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11.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.83University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.94University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ring | 18.7% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 19.5% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Dang | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 17.7% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 26.6% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 23.3% |
| Mason Read | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 7.9% |
| Sam Dudley | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.