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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.01+1.75vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.52vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.53+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+1.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.52+0.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.98+3.86vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.91+2.86vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-3.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.29-0.81vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-1.77vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-3.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.07-4.40vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.79-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7University of California at Berkeley0.400.2%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.2%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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3.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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12.86University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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12.86University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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7.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
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11.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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10.6University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
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12.61University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 18.6% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 18.9% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 18.7% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 25.0% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 24.9% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mason Read | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Teresa Dang | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
| Sam Dudley | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.