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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.49vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University0.06+1.01vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.50-1.51vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.70-1.63vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.48-2.31vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.61-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51University of Pennsylvania2.680.6%1st Place
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4.01Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
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2.49Princeton University1.500.2%1st Place
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3.37Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.69Stevens Institute of Technology0.480.0%1st Place
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5.94Penn State University-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 63.3% | 26.1% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Richardson | 3.6% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 25.3% | 44.0% | 1.3% |
| Gene Merewether | 19.4% | 34.8% | 28.1% | 13.1% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 8.8% | 15.7% | 26.2% | 29.3% | 19.5% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Samalot | 4.9% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 29.5% | 29.5% | 1.4% |
| Jacqueline Ligorski | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 96.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.