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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.65+1.24vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.80+2.78vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.03+2.48vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.89+1.11vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.97+0.24vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.65-1.56vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.71-2.23vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.70-1.20vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.37-0.92vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-3.09-0.70vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Ohio State University0.6540.2%1st Place
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4.78Washington University-0.809.1%1st Place
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5.48Purdue University-1.037.2%1st Place
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5.11Indiana University-0.898.5%1st Place
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5.24Ohio State University-0.977.4%1st Place
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4.44Hope College-0.6511.3%1st Place
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4.77Michigan State University-0.719.3%1st Place
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6.8University of Notre Dame-1.704.0%1st Place
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8.08Miami University-2.371.8%1st Place
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9.3University of Illinois-3.090.9%1st Place
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9.76Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 40.2% | 26.9% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.1% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Mathis Destouches | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Weston Rapp | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Avery | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Edmund Redman | 11.3% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 2.6% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 23.0% | 23.5% | 10.9% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 30.6% | 33.9% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 10.6% | 22.8% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.