← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+1.60vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley-0.64+2.17vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine-0.66+1.22vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+0.08vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+1.16vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.00+0.67vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Davis-2.78+1.12vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis-2.68-0.14vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.73-1.00vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.3%1st Place
-
4.17University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.22University of California at Irvine-0.660.1%1st Place
-
4.08University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
-
6.16University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
-
6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.000.0%1st Place
-
8.12University of California at Davis-2.780.0%1st Place
-
7.86University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.730.0%1st Place
-
3.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Anderson | 32.5% | 24.3% | 18.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 12.0% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Caden Domingo | 10.9% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Liam Williams | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Mira Shupe | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 9.0% |
| Chloe Lighterink | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 30.1% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 23.1% | 26.5% |
| Paul Munsell | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 29.5% |
| Samuel Groom | 21.6% | 21.8% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.