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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+4.28vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+4.08vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.53+3.10vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.66+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.64-1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.99-1.01vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.54-1.16vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.23-3.66vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.50-0.19vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.03-2.36vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.53+0.12vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.56vs Predicted
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13Washington University-1.65-1.78vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-2.71-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
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5.81Marquette University0.660.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Michigan1.640.2%1st Place
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4.99University of Notre Dame0.990.1%1st Place
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5.84Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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4.34Northwestern University1.230.2%1st Place
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8.81Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.64Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.12Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.44Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.22Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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12.86Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eric Brieden | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 21.8% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 12.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jake Weinstein | 16.7% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Mason Shaw | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Rutherford | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 11.9% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 26.0% | 16.3% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 25.4% | 13.3% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 19.5% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.