← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Saint Thomas0.47+5.20vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University1.23+2.20vs Predicted
-
3Indiana University0.82+2.34vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan1.64-0.57vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-1.53+6.10vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame0.99-1.02vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University0.66-1.46vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin0.53-1.91vs Predicted
-
9Purdue University-0.50-0.20vs Predicted
-
10Ohio State University-0.03-2.33vs Predicted
-
11Michigan Technological University0.54-4.86vs Predicted
-
12Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.52vs Predicted
-
13Western Michigan University-2.71-0.19vs Predicted
-
14Washington University-1.65-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.2University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
-
4.2Northwestern University1.230.2%1st Place
-
5.34Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
-
3.43University of Michigan1.640.2%1st Place
-
11.1Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
-
4.98University of Notre Dame0.990.1%1st Place
-
5.54Marquette University0.660.1%1st Place
-
6.09University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
-
8.8Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
-
7.67Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
6.14Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
-
11.48Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
-
12.81Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
-
11.21Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 15.3% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 21.7% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 13.1% |
| Timothy Hesse | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Brieden | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 24.6% | 17.2% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 56.9% |
| Jacob Hsia | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 22.5% | 26.1% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.