Race 7 - colony-cup | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%

Within 2 Positions

3.3

Avg Position Diff

10

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

+1.53

vs Predicted
2

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

+0.39

vs Predicted
3

Natalie Ross & Amy Craven

Christopher Newport University

1.07

+0.88

vs Predicted
4

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-1.47

vs Predicted
5

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-2.47

vs Predicted
6

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-3.47

vs Predicted
7

Matthew Needles & Amanda Pinckney

University of Virginia

1.67

-3.83

vs Predicted
8

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

-5.47

vs Predicted
9

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

-6.61

vs Predicted
10

Luke Gossman & Valerie Cole

Virginia Tech

1.80

-6.96

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.53

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.39

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

0.3%

1st Place
3.88

Natalie Ross & Amy Craven

Christopher Newport University

1.07

0.1%

1st Place
2.53

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.53

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.53

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
3.17

Matthew Needles & Amanda Pinckney

University of Virginia

1.67

0.1%

1st Place
2.53

Billy Hluchan & Sarah Kreshtool

American University

2.24

0.3%

1st Place
2.39

Ian Connors & Sam Klein

George Washington University

2.38

0.3%

1st Place
3.04

Luke Gossman & Valerie Cole

Virginia Tech

1.80

0.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Billy Hluchan	27.8%	26.3%	21.0%	15.0%	9.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ian Connors	31.2%	26.0%	21.8%	14.6%	6.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Natalie Ross	8.6%	9.8%	14.7%	19.1%	47.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.8%	26.3%	21.0%	15.0%	9.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.8%	26.3%	21.0%	15.0%	9.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.8%	26.3%	21.0%	15.0%	9.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Matthew Needles	14.0%	20.1%	20.2%	26.5%	19.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Billy Hluchan	27.8%	26.3%	21.0%	15.0%	9.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ian Connors	31.2%	26.0%	21.8%	14.6%	6.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Luke Gossman	18.4%	17.8%	22.3%	24.8%	16.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.