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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.65+1.25vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.89+3.02vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.65+1.51vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.80+0.77vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.03+0.42vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.71-1.29vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.97-1.69vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.70-1.22vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.37-0.85vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-3.09-0.73vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Ohio State University0.6540.2%1st Place
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5.02Indiana University-0.898.5%1st Place
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4.51Hope College-0.6510.5%1st Place
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4.77Washington University-0.8010.3%1st Place
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5.42Purdue University-1.036.8%1st Place
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4.71Michigan State University-0.719.6%1st Place
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5.31Ohio State University-0.977.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Notre Dame-1.703.8%1st Place
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8.15Miami University-2.371.8%1st Place
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9.27University of Illinois-3.091.1%1st Place
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9.83Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 40.2% | 26.8% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Weston Rapp | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Edmund Redman | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Avery | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 24.9% | 24.4% | 10.0% |
| Arseniy Titov | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 31.6% | 32.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 22.7% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.