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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.99+3.86vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.53+3.10vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.64-0.57vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.23-0.56vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.82-0.53vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.54-1.14vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.53+2.95vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.03-1.38vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.50-1.12vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.66-5.20vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.52vs Predicted
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13Washington University-1.65-1.81vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-2.71-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86University of Notre Dame0.990.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Michigan1.640.2%1st Place
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4.44Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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5.47Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.86Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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10.95Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.62Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.88Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.8Marquette University0.660.1%1st Place
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11.48Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.19Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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12.86Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 21.9% | 22.5% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 10.4% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 22.1% | 13.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Eric Brieden | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 22.4% | 25.9% | 15.7% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 22.8% | 23.9% | 13.4% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.