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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.23+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.99+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.64+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.53+2.11vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50+3.85vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.47+0.33vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.54-1.12vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.75+3.31vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.66-3.19vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.03-2.30vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.53+0.09vs Predicted
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12Indiana University0.82-6.59vs Predicted
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13Washington University-1.65-1.83vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-2.71-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Notre Dame0.990.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Michigan1.640.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
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8.85Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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5.88Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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11.31Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.81Marquette University0.660.1%1st Place
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7.7Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.09Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.41Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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11.17Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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12.86Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 23.3% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 24.3% | 17.5% |
| Eric Brieden | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Jack Rutherford | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 11.6% |
| Nithya Balachander | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 21.2% | 27.1% | 11.6% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.