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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.64+2.41vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.53+3.09vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.23+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.99-0.98vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.66-1.48vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.54-1.96vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.03-1.34vs Predicted
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10Washington University-1.65+1.33vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.50-2.20vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.53-0.95vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.65vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-2.71-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of Michigan1.640.2%1st Place
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5.17Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
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4.36Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Notre Dame0.990.1%1st Place
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5.52Marquette University0.660.1%1st Place
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6.04Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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7.66Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.33Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.8Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
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11.05Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.35Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.85Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Vogel | 24.2% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 13.3% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Hesse | 11.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Brieden | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 24.5% | 15.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Rutherford | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 22.2% | 20.7% | 11.9% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 25.9% | 16.2% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.