← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.23+3.30vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University0.54+3.86vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.64+0.38vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University0.66+1.79vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame0.99+0.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Saint Thomas0.47+0.34vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin0.53-1.16vs Predicted
-
8Indiana University0.82-2.69vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University-0.03-1.36vs Predicted
-
10Purdue University-0.50-1.13vs Predicted
-
11Washington University-1.65+0.37vs Predicted
-
12Hope College-1.53-0.93vs Predicted
-
13Western Michigan University-2.71-0.17vs Predicted
-
14Grand Valley State University-1.75-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.3Northwestern University1.230.2%1st Place
-
5.86Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
-
3.38University of Michigan1.640.2%1st Place
-
5.79Marquette University0.660.1%1st Place
-
5.05University of Notre Dame0.990.1%1st Place
-
6.34University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
-
5.84University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
-
5.31Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
-
7.64Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
8.87Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
-
11.37Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
-
11.07Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
-
12.83Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
-
11.35Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 15.6% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Braden Vogel | 24.5% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Brieden | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nok In Chan | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Hsia | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 27.0% | 13.6% |
| Jack Rutherford | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 18.0% | 22.6% | 19.7% | 12.9% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 57.7% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 21.8% | 26.8% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.