← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.23+3.30vs Predicted
-
2Indiana University0.82+3.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin0.53+3.09vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan1.64-0.57vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University0.54+1.18vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-0.50+2.88vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-1.53+3.82vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University0.66-2.28vs Predicted
-
9Washington University-1.65+2.26vs Predicted
-
10University of Saint Thomas0.47-3.68vs Predicted
-
11University of Notre Dame0.99-6.03vs Predicted
-
12Ohio State University-0.03-4.42vs Predicted
-
13Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.61vs Predicted
-
14Western Michigan University-2.71-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.3Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
-
5.16Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
-
6.09University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
-
3.43University of Michigan1.640.2%1st Place
-
6.18Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
-
8.88Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
-
10.82Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
-
5.72Marquette University0.660.1%1st Place
-
11.26Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
-
6.32University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
-
4.97University of Notre Dame0.990.1%1st Place
-
7.58Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
11.39Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
-
12.88Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 14.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Braden Vogel | 22.9% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Jack Rutherford | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 11.2% |
| Eric Brieden | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 16.2% | 21.3% | 24.8% | 14.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 13.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 25.8% | 16.4% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.