Race 9A

mcsa-open-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jake Weinstein 14.4% 16.5% 15.9% 11.1% 10.3% 9.4% 9.4% 6.2% 3.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Nithya Balachander 10.3% 11.4% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 10.5% 11.8% 8.2% 6.2% 4.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Timothy Hesse 12.6% 13.1% 11.0% 11.0% 11.8% 10.5% 9.9% 9.0% 5.0% 4.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Braden Vogel 23.0% 19.8% 15.0% 12.7% 10.5% 8.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Michels 6.0% 6.7% 9.3% 10.1% 9.2% 10.6% 10.4% 12.0% 9.6% 8.6% 5.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Eric Brieden 8.8% 6.9% 9.6% 11.4% 9.5% 11.2% 11.3% 9.2% 9.6% 7.1% 4.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Nok In Chan 3.0% 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 5.7% 5.2% 6.2% 7.6% 12.5% 13.9% 18.0% 11.3% 4.2% 0.8%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 8.5% 8.3% 7.5% 7.5% 10.8% 11.4% 10.3% 10.6% 10.4% 7.6% 4.6% 2.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Jacob Hsia 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 2.6% 4.7% 7.0% 15.7% 22.7% 24.1% 14.0%
Greg Bittle 6.8% 6.2% 8.0% 9.0% 9.6% 10.8% 9.7% 12.3% 11.4% 9.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Jack Rutherford 0.5% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 1.4% 2.0% 3.6% 6.6% 9.7% 15.3% 21.6% 22.7% 11.5%
Mason Shaw 3.6% 4.2% 5.1% 6.3% 7.2% 7.5% 9.2% 11.9% 13.0% 14.8% 8.7% 5.7% 2.3% 0.5%
Carly Irwin 1.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.7% 5.0% 7.4% 13.7% 19.3% 26.2% 16.7%
Keegan Aerts 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 2.7% 5.6% 10.0% 19.3% 56.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.