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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.64+2.42vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+3.88vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.99+1.90vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.66+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.37vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.03+1.66vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.23-2.85vs Predicted
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8Indiana University0.82-2.66vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.53-2.83vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.53+1.10vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.50-2.24vs Predicted
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12Washington University-1.65-0.71vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.63vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-2.71-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Michigan1.640.2%1st Place
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5.88Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Notre Dame0.990.1%1st Place
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5.75Marquette University0.660.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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7.66Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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4.15Northwestern University1.230.2%1st Place
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5.34Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
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11.1Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.76Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
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11.29Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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11.37Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.84Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Vogel | 24.4% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Hesse | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Brieden | 6.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Mason Shaw | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jake Weinstein | 17.3% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 22.0% | 12.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Hsia | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 9.0% | 15.9% | 21.5% | 23.8% | 14.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 25.9% | 16.5% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.