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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.19+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.75+1.52vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.07+2.27vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.48+2.85vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.27+3.96vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.44-1.53vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.26-1.07vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.77-0.45vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.65+2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.65-2.68vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-0.26-4.77vs Predicted
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12Washington University-0.75-4.38vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-3.10-0.53vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-2.75-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96University of Notre Dame0.190.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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5.27Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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6.85Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.96Purdue University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.47Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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5.93Indiana University-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.55Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.91Ohio State University-2.650.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.62Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.47Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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11.94Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 21.7% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 15.5% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 19.1% | 30.4% | 26.3% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nigel Yu | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Xinshi Feng | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 14.5% | 24.7% | 43.1% |
| William O'Haver | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 20.7% | 27.4% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.