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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.75+2.60vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.44+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.65+4.22vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.48+2.81vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.07+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.26+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.19-2.23vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.77-0.49vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.75-1.36vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-3.10+2.58vs Predicted
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11Indiana University-0.26-4.79vs Predicted
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12Purdue University-1.27-3.04vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-2.65-1.22vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-2.75-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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4.19Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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7.22University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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6.81Marquette University-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.37Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Notre Dame0.190.1%1st Place
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7.51Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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7.64Washington University-0.750.1%1st Place
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12.58Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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6.21Indiana University-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.96Purdue University-1.270.0%1st Place
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11.78Ohio State University-2.650.0%1st Place
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11.99Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 21.8% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Payden Pittman | 12.3% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Xinshi Feng | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 4.8% | 16.0% | 23.8% | 45.9% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 21.5% | 26.9% | 24.0% |
| William O'Haver | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 17.3% | 30.7% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.