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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.65+1.26vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.80+2.90vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.71+1.74vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.65+0.54vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.97+0.35vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.89-0.92vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.37+1.10vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.03-2.67vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.70-2.27vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.35vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-3.09-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Ohio State University0.6540.2%1st Place
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4.9Washington University-0.809.2%1st Place
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4.74Michigan State University-0.719.5%1st Place
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4.54Hope College-0.6510.8%1st Place
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5.35Ohio State University-0.977.3%1st Place
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5.08Indiana University-0.897.2%1st Place
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8.1Miami University-2.372.3%1st Place
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5.33Purdue University-1.037.4%1st Place
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6.73University of Notre Dame-1.704.6%1st Place
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9.65Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.8%1st Place
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9.31University of Illinois-3.090.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 40.2% | 26.8% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Edmund Redman | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Avery | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Weston Rapp | 7.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Tiegan Witte | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 20.8% | 24.3% | 12.3% |
| Mathis Destouches | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Piper Luke | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 11.3% | 24.1% | 47.8% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 28.4% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.