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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.75+2.54vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.12+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.65+4.23vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.48+2.74vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.19+0.02vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.07-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.26-1.17vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-0.26-1.93vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.77-1.39vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-1.27-1.02vs Predicted
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11Washington University-0.75-3.50vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-3.10+0.56vs Predicted
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13Western Michigan University-2.75-1.05vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-2.65-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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4.87Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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6.74Marquette University-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Notre Dame0.190.1%1st Place
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5.32Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.07Indiana University-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.61Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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8.98Purdue University-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.5Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.56Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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11.95Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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11.78Ohio State University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 23.4% | 20.2% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bray | 12.2% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Payden Pittman | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Xinshi Feng | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 14.1% | 24.3% | 45.4% |
| William O'Haver | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 19.8% | 27.1% | 29.0% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 19.9% | 30.9% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.