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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+4.29vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.19+2.84vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-0.26+3.26vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.48+2.93vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.12+0.31vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.57+1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.26-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-0.65-0.68vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.75-1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.75-6.32vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-3.10+1.67vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.77-4.25vs Predicted
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13Western Michigan University-2.75-0.97vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-2.65-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Notre Dame0.190.1%1st Place
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6.26Indiana University-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.93Marquette University-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.31Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
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7.27Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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7.76Washington University-0.750.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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12.67Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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7.75Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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12.03Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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11.88Ohio State University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Payden Pittman | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Grace Bray | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathanael Green | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Xinshi Feng | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Billy Vogel | 20.4% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 13.8% | 24.6% | 47.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| William O'Haver | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 18.4% | 32.9% | 26.9% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 22.6% | 29.7% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.