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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.75+2.72vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.07+3.21vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.44+1.44vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.57+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.26+1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.65+1.58vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.48-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.19-2.92vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.75-1.20vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-0.26-3.64vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.77-3.20vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University-2.65-0.01vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-3.10-0.44vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-2.75-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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5.21Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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4.44Northwestern University0.440.1%1st Place
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7.23Purdue University-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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6.72Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Notre Dame0.190.1%1st Place
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7.8Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.36Indiana University-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.8Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.99Ohio State University-2.650.0%1st Place
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12.56Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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12.07Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 22.0% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 14.9% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathanael Green | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Payden Pittman | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Xinshi Feng | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 22.0% | 29.5% | 26.0% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 14.9% | 23.8% | 45.6% |
| William O'Haver | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 19.4% | 31.8% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.