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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.48+5.83vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.44+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.75+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.19+1.13vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.57+2.33vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.77+1.88vs Predicted
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7Washington University-0.75+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-0.65-0.58vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.07-3.50vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-0.26-3.56vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-2.75+1.18vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-3.10+0.64vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin-0.26-6.73vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-2.65-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.31Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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3.66University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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5.13University of Notre Dame0.190.1%1st Place
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7.33Purdue University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.88Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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7.52Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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5.5Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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6.44Indiana University-0.260.1%1st Place
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12.18Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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12.64Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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11.89Ohio State University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 16.0% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 21.3% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payden Pittman | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathanael Green | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Xinshi Feng | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William O'Haver | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 19.2% | 30.8% | 29.8% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 13.6% | 27.7% | 44.4% |
| Nigel Yu | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 23.1% | 28.4% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.