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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.19+4.04vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.07+3.23vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-0.26+3.35vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.26+2.36vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.44-0.45vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.48+1.07vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.57-0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.75-4.25vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.75+3.12vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.65-2.48vs Predicted
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11Washington University-0.75-3.24vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.77-4.19vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-2.65-1.11vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-3.10-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04University of Notre Dame0.190.1%1st Place
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5.23Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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6.35Indiana University-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.55Northwestern University0.440.1%1st Place
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7.07Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.97Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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12.12Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.76Washington University-0.750.1%1st Place
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7.81Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.89Ohio State University-2.650.0%1st Place
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12.57Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathanael Green | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Billy Vogel | 22.9% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William O'Haver | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 19.3% | 30.0% | 30.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Xinshi Feng | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 19.1% | 32.2% | 24.0% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 6.3% | 15.0% | 25.9% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.