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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.57+6.08vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.44+2.32vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-0.26+3.34vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.07+1.49vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.77+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.26+0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.75-3.40vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.48-1.07vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.75-1.18vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-3.10+2.59vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-2.75+1.15vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University-2.65-0.02vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame0.19-7.92vs Predicted
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14University of Saint Thomas-0.65-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.32Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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6.34Indiana University-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.49Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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7.83Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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6.93Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.82Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.59Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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12.15Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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11.98Ohio State University-2.650.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Notre Dame0.190.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathanael Green | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 16.4% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 21.1% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Xinshi Feng | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 16.9% | 26.2% | 43.8% |
| William O'Haver | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 18.8% | 30.1% | 29.5% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 8.5% | 22.1% | 30.4% | 24.3% |
| Payden Pittman | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.