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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.44+3.41vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.26+4.15vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.07+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.75-0.28vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.77+2.90vs Predicted
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6Washington University-0.75+1.85vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.26-0.89vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.75+4.01vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.19-3.86vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.65-2.47vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.57-3.71vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.48-4.99vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-2.65-1.12vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-3.10-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Northwestern University0.440.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.4Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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7.9Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.85Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.11Indiana University-0.260.1%1st Place
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12.01Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Notre Dame0.190.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.29Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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7.01Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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11.88Ohio State University-2.650.0%1st Place
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12.58Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Chesemore | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 20.7% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Xinshi Feng | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William O'Haver | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 18.3% | 27.9% | 30.5% |
| Payden Pittman | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nathanael Green | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 19.6% | 32.8% | 23.2% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 16.4% | 24.2% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.