Race 10B

mcsa-open-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicholas Chesemore 15.4% 16.2% 14.7% 12.4% 9.3% 8.6% 7.7% 5.8% 3.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathanael Green 5.2% 6.5% 8.3% 7.1% 8.1% 8.0% 8.7% 8.8% 10.5% 12.6% 9.3% 4.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Payden Pittman 12.6% 12.7% 11.1% 10.8% 11.3% 9.0% 9.4% 8.0% 7.1% 4.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Brian Zettlemoyer 4.6% 7.5% 5.9% 6.7% 8.1% 8.6% 11.2% 10.3% 10.3% 10.1% 9.6% 5.3% 1.7% 0.1%
Nigel Yu 6.0% 6.6% 9.1% 9.2% 8.8% 10.2% 9.6% 11.2% 8.9% 7.9% 8.8% 3.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Rakesh Dhiman 5.5% 4.3% 5.5% 5.9% 7.0% 8.3% 9.1% 8.9% 11.5% 11.5% 11.4% 8.2% 2.6% 0.3%
Caroline Henry 4.8% 5.7% 6.1% 6.2% 6.5% 7.6% 8.7% 10.2% 9.0% 10.5% 15.4% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6%
Bryce Lesinski 8.3% 8.2% 8.5% 9.4% 8.2% 9.0% 10.0% 8.3% 10.2% 8.1% 7.7% 2.6% 1.4% 0.1%
Billy Vogel 19.8% 17.7% 15.4% 13.1% 11.1% 7.6% 4.9% 5.3% 2.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Xinshi Feng 4.5% 4.0% 4.2% 5.7% 6.9% 9.5% 7.2% 9.0% 11.2% 13.3% 11.9% 9.1% 2.7% 0.8%
Lucas Rodenroth 11.4% 9.1% 9.3% 11.6% 11.7% 9.2% 9.4% 8.8% 8.0% 5.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
William O'Haver 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 1.5% 3.3% 3.2% 5.2% 20.6% 30.2% 29.7%
Quinn Schwarz 1.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 2.6% 2.1% 4.2% 6.2% 23.0% 29.2% 25.0%
Nathaniel Bacheller 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 3.4% 5.2% 13.7% 27.1% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.