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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.72+2.41vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+1.56vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.58-0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.48+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46+0.35vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.13-1.17vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-2.53+1.31vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.35-3.97vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-2.53-1.75vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-3.87-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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3.56University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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2.27Western Washington University1.580.4%1st Place
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5.49University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.83Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.31Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.03Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
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9.5Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 17.7% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 15.3% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 36.8% | 26.7% | 18.7% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 24.5% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 25.3% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hans Scheyer | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 31.6% | 38.2% | 14.9% |
| Alexander Turloff | 11.1% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 31.5% | 37.0% | 14.6% |
| Spencer Patten | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 8.1% | 18.1% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.