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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.72+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.48+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.66-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46+0.34vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.35-1.99vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-2.53+1.33vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.13-3.19vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-2.53-1.75vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-3.87-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Western Washington University1.580.4%1st Place
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3.5University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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5.5University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.01Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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8.33Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
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9.49Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 41.2% | 25.2% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 15.2% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 27.3% | 11.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 13.0% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 21.7% | 23.3% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Turloff | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hans Scheyer | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 32.6% | 38.1% | 14.9% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 30.5% | 37.9% | 14.6% |
| Spencer Patten | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 7.7% | 18.1% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.