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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.65+1.27vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.80+2.86vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.65+1.55vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.71+0.73vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.97+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.70+0.68vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.37+1.07vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-0.89-2.89vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.03-3.66vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.26vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-3.09-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Ohio State University0.6540.0%1st Place
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4.86Washington University-0.809.8%1st Place
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4.55Hope College-0.659.6%1st Place
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4.73Michigan State University-0.719.6%1st Place
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5.29Ohio State University-0.978.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Notre Dame-1.703.6%1st Place
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8.07Miami University-2.372.0%1st Place
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5.11Indiana University-0.898.9%1st Place
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5.34Purdue University-1.037.1%1st Place
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9.74Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.9%1st Place
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9.36University of Illinois-3.090.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 40.0% | 25.8% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Edmund Redman | 9.6% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Avery | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 3.4% |
| Tiegan Witte | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 22.2% | 23.2% | 11.7% |
| Weston Rapp | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Mathis Destouches | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Piper Luke | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 25.5% | 47.6% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 29.4% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.