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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-2.53+5.23vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.35+0.12vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.58-2.80vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.72-3.54vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.46-2.54vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.13-4.13vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-3.74-0.61vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-2.53-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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8.23University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.12Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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2.2Western Washington University1.580.4%1st Place
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5.44University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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5.46University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.87Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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9.39Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
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8.3Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 16.3% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 27.7% | 38.3% | 15.9% |
| Alexander Turloff | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 38.3% | 28.5% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 25.3% | 11.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 17.1% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 22.2% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 8.9% | 18.1% | 67.6% |
| Hans Scheyer | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 30.6% | 36.9% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.