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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+2.54vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.72+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.46+2.48vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.35-0.96vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.13-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.48-1.61vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-2.53+0.35vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.58-6.76vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-3.74-0.59vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-2.53-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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5.48University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.04Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
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2.24Western Washington University1.580.4%1st Place
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9.41Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
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8.29Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 15.9% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 16.0% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 26.3% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 9.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 23.7% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 29.3% | 40.2% | 15.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 39.3% | 24.6% | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 9.7% | 17.6% | 67.8% |
| Hans Scheyer | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 29.5% | 35.9% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.