Race 5A

north-north

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lucien Freemesser 16.9% 17.8% 19.0% 15.4% 13.6% 9.7% 6.1% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Leif Hauge 38.8% 26.5% 17.7% 10.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oliver Nairn 15.5% 18.5% 18.7% 18.2% 14.1% 9.9% 4.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Avey 3.9% 6.4% 7.8% 11.3% 14.6% 17.9% 24.8% 10.1% 2.7% 0.5%
Ellie Blakemore 7.7% 8.8% 10.7% 12.9% 15.8% 20.3% 15.7% 6.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Alexander Turloff 12.1% 14.1% 15.4% 16.7% 17.6% 12.4% 8.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Jaden Unruh 3.9% 6.1% 7.9% 11.8% 13.1% 19.2% 24.1% 11.0% 2.4% 0.5%
Hans Scheyer 0.4% 0.6% 1.6% 0.9% 3.1% 4.4% 6.1% 30.2% 34.0% 18.7%
Nathaniel Rubin 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.7% 2.9% 3.3% 6.5% 28.0% 33.8% 21.5%
Chris Connor 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 1.0% 1.4% 3.3% 9.8% 24.8% 58.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.