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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+1.25vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.35+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.66+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.72-1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.46-0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.48-1.55vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.13-3.11vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-2.53-0.71vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-3.47-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-2.53-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Western Washington University1.580.4%1st Place
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4.08Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.89Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.29Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
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9.28Gonzaga University-3.470.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 40.4% | 26.1% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 15.1% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 14.7% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Hans Scheyer | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 30.0% | 33.5% | 19.2% |
| Chris Connor | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 10.0% | 21.8% | 61.2% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 26.8% | 37.2% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.