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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.72+2.46vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.58+0.23vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.13+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.66-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.48+0.41vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.35-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-2.53+1.40vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-2.53+0.32vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-3.47+0.26vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.46-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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2.23Western Washington University1.580.4%1st Place
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4.9Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.01Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Washington-2.530.0%1st Place
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8.32Western Washington University-2.530.0%1st Place
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9.26Gonzaga University-3.470.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 15.8% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 38.7% | 25.7% | 18.2% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 7.8% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 14.3% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 11.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Turloff | 12.3% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 28.5% | 36.1% | 19.8% |
| Hans Scheyer | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 27.2% | 35.4% | 19.2% |
| Chris Connor | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 10.8% | 21.6% | 60.4% |
| Emily Avey | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.