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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.41+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.43-0.63vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.50-0.36vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.54-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.94-2.79vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.04-3.54vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.33-4.02vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-4.41-1.93vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-5.34-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Washington-0.410.2%1st Place
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2.37University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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3.64Western Washington University-0.500.2%1st Place
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5.21Western Washington University-1.540.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.98Western Washington University-1.330.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Oregon-4.410.0%1st Place
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8.61Gonzaga University-5.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Farkas | 16.4% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 35.9% | 25.2% | 20.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Banyard | 15.1% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Addison Dunn | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 29.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 24.4% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyla Garfas-Knowles | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 62.4% | 28.8% |
| Anita Shields | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 25.2% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.