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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington0.43+0.25vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41-1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.94-1.75vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.33-2.07vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.54-2.70vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-4.91-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-4.41-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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3.76Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Washington-0.410.2%1st Place
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4.25University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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4.93Western Washington University-1.330.1%1st Place
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5.3Western Washington University-1.540.1%1st Place
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8.49Gonzaga University-4.910.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Oregon-4.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 40.1% | 24.8% | 16.7% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Banyard | 11.6% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 17.7% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 9.4% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 22.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Addison Dunn | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 30.4% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Elias West | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 31.9% | 62.6% |
| Tyla Garfas-Knowles | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 55.1% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.