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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington0.43+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.77+1.12vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.50-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.04-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.94-1.87vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.33-2.13vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.54-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-4.41-1.86vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-4.91-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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4.12University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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3.56Western Washington University-0.500.2%1st Place
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4.29University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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4.87Western Washington University-1.330.1%1st Place
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5.24Western Washington University-1.540.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Oregon-4.410.0%1st Place
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8.47Gonzaga University-4.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 40.9% | 26.4% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Seto | 8.9% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Banyard | 15.7% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 10.2% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 22.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Addison Dunn | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 29.3% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Tyla Garfas-Knowles | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 53.8% | 36.9% |
| Elias West | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 32.1% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.