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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.80+3.84vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.97+3.25vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.65-0.72vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.71+0.72vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.65-0.47vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.89-0.98vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.03-1.71vs Predicted
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8Miami University-2.37+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.70-2.12vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.20vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-3.09-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Washington University-0.808.8%1st Place
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5.25Ohio State University-0.977.7%1st Place
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2.28Ohio State University0.6539.1%1st Place
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4.72Michigan State University-0.7110.0%1st Place
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4.53Hope College-0.6510.8%1st Place
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5.02Indiana University-0.898.4%1st Place
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5.29Purdue University-1.038.3%1st Place
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8.11Miami University-2.371.5%1st Place
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6.88University of Notre Dame-1.703.5%1st Place
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9.8Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.7%1st Place
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9.29University of Illinois-3.091.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hsia | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Avery | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Mason Shaw | 39.1% | 26.5% | 16.6% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Edmund Redman | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Weston Rapp | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Mathis Destouches | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 23.7% | 23.6% | 11.2% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 10.2% | 2.7% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 24.0% | 51.1% |
| Arseniy Titov | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 30.8% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.