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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.94+1.41vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.33+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.04-0.75vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.50-2.59vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.77-3.09vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.54-3.75vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-4.41-1.86vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-4.91-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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4.41University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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4.95Western Washington University-1.330.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.41Western Washington University-0.500.2%1st Place
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3.91University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.25Western Washington University-1.540.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Oregon-4.410.0%1st Place
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8.48Gonzaga University-4.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 41.7% | 25.4% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 22.8% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Lyons | 10.2% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Banyard | 17.1% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Seto | 12.3% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Addison Dunn | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 29.0% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Tyla Garfas-Knowles | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 54.0% | 36.9% |
| Elias West | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 31.8% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.