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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.94+2.40vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.77-1.16vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.04-1.70vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.33-2.12vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.54-2.77vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-4.91-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-4.41-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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4.4University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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3.54Western Washington University-0.500.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University-1.330.1%1st Place
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5.23Western Washington University-1.540.1%1st Place
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8.48Gonzaga University-4.910.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Oregon-4.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 40.8% | 26.1% | 16.6% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Banyard | 15.4% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Seto | 13.7% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 9.2% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 22.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Addison Dunn | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 29.2% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Elias West | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 31.7% | 62.6% |
| Tyla Garfas-Knowles | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 55.0% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.