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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.48+1.19vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.24+0.54vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.29+1.85vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05+0.35vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.25+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-2.21+1.72vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-0.73-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-0.51vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19North Carolina State University1.480.4%1st Place
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2.54Clemson University1.240.3%1st Place
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4.85Clemson University-0.290.1%1st Place
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4.35North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.29Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
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7.72University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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5.58University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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3.99The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 37.9% | 28.7% | 17.7% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryson Eaton | 28.3% | 28.2% | 19.8% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 6.6% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 7.4% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Jack Wigmore | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 13.5% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 24.7% | 44.5% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 30.2% | 35.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 10.9% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.